Comments 1,952

Re: Xbox Is Having 'Very Big Discussions' About Exclusivity, Says Reporter

Jenkinss

@Fiendish-Beaver I think timed exclusives are a total folly. There are very rare exceptions, like FH5 on Playstation. But FH5 is a generational game, the single highest rated video game of its year.

Playstation tried timed exclusives (to PC after the window). All signs point to them retreating from this strategy back to full exclusives. Why? Because it's lose/lose.

The point of exclusives is to prop up your platform by having things, you know, exclusive to it. When everyone knows your games are coming out elsewhere later, it's not exclusive. You lose nearly everything you gain from making a game exclusive. It's not a game you can't play elsewhere - it's a play early perk.

On the other side, the idea is that you are going to pick up sales on the competing platform. Unfortunately the competing platform sales always suffer for two reasons. The first is the hype has died. All your advertising from a year ago is a distant memory. People don't care about the game anymore. Additionally, among some pockets of people who might have otherwise bought the game, there is resentment - why wasn't this on my platform to start? I'm getting sloppy seconds?

I have always felt this way, and from the start of Xbox's downfall, told people that if there is a period of timed exclusives for Xbox games it will be a very temporary window, and games will go to Playstation day 1 as soon as possible. Xbox will not advertise games for a platform with 20 million people, and then release it on a platform with 90 million people a year later. There's no universe where it's the long term plan. You go full exclusive, or you go multi platform, there's no middle ground win for a platform holder. The recent developments with Sony have just made my beliefs here concrete.

I do want to be clear that I don't think MS is going exclusive again. I am pretty sure Xbox is dead. But if they wanted to get back in the game, it would be expensive, just like the original Xbox. That's why I said it would be like starting over. To answer your question are there enough Xbox gamers to buy games? Probably not. Were there in 2001? No. You're in the phase where you need to spend a ton of money to build market share. I don't see them doing it. But that's what it would take.

Re: Gears Of War E-Day Direct Length Detailed As Xbox Games Showcase Reveals Get Locked In

Jenkinss

@Fiendish-Beaver Yeah I don't think we were on leaderboards or anything that I remember but we mastered all the maps, I'm sure it's the game we played most as a group. The game really went from OK at launch to an all timer after all the changes and IMO it's the first one to surpass Gears 2 horde for me. Some of the launch stuff was pretty funny though, all those 4 JD + engineer runs where rounds lasted .5 seconds, stupid but fun. But of all the many changes, bringing back frenzy was the most needed. I hope E-Day comes out of the gate swinging this time.

Re: Xbox Is Having 'Very Big Discussions' About Exclusivity, Says Reporter

Jenkinss

@Fiendish-Beaver I t think that's a fine point, and sort of reframes the entire scenario though. If that is where we are at and Xbox is dead (I do agree with this), then exclusives shouldn't even be discussed. The only thing I can think of comparable would be Valve making Half Life Alyx exclusive, bit that's 1 game and they were trying to push a niche product, not wind one down.

But if we are going to talk about exclusives (and I don't personally see this happening, like you I'm one of the OG doomers here), then you are talking about spending a lot of money, and you wouldn't do that for no reason. It would be part of an enormous push.

Re: Xbox Is Having 'Very Big Discussions' About Exclusivity, Says Reporter

Jenkinss

@Fiendish-Beaver I'm not comparing Forza on Playstation vs Forza on Xbox. I'm comparing the gain from selling games (including Forza) on Playstation to the loss of pure profit they get from having a dominant platform and taking 30% from every 3rd party game sold on it. That's why I specifically quoted that section.

I think Microsoft will choose to continue to put their games on PlayStation even if that hurts sales of the Helix because I believe the sales of their games will bring in more revenue than they lose as a consequence of selling fewer Helix's.

This is what I disagree with. Every Helix not sold is a person not in the MS ecosystem. That's a person not buying all their 3rd party games on Xbox. That's a person not buying all their microtransactions on Xbox. 30% of GTA sales, 30% of GTA online microtransations. 30% of Roblox microtransactions. That list is endless. All of that is the best kind of money, risk free, pure profit. And my point was that in my estimation, what they've lost by selling out their ecosystem, going from 90M to 20M customers, is a much bigger loss than what they're gaining. (and to be clear, I don't think they're going to hit anything close to 20M next gen). And the only way to get back on top of that mountain is by taking the losses and making everything exclusive. Yes, they would be in the red. They would basically be a newcomer in the industry again. Breaking in is hard an expensive. That's where Xbox is at.

This is a difficult conversation to have in text and in a news comments section because it's not a simple A vs B, it's a chain of events looking backward and looking forward.

Re: Xbox Is Having 'Very Big Discussions' About Exclusivity, Says Reporter

Jenkinss

Fiendish-Beaver wrote:

The lack of exclusives has massively hurt Xbox in terms of console sales, but has also lined the pockets of Microsoft in the process. I think Microsoft will choose to continue to put their games on PlayStation even if that hurts sales of the Helix because I believe the sales of their games will bring in more revenue than they lose as a consequence of selling fewer Helix's.

. I don't think this is true. I don't believe being a 3rd party publisher is more desirable than being a platform owner that just sits back and collects 30% of game sales as pure profit with no risk.

If this rumor is true (and being from Jez, I doubt it) then that would all but confirm I'm right. Microsoft's path to Xbox reclaiming its spot as a relevant console would be VERY expensive, and they sure as hell won't do it for the love of the game. They would do it because it's potentially more profitable.

Think about how much money they are probably in the red vs Xbox 360's almost 90m sold. 30% on the gta games, the mass effects, etc. 30% on all the dlc with that enormous customer base. Vs what, 70% of their Forza sales on Playsation?

I see their transition to 3rd party as a sad surrender, not some kind of more profitable 4D chess victory.

Re: Preview: We've Played Forza Horizon 6, And It's Potentially The Best Entry To Date

Jenkinss

D33pblu3ch3ssmast3r wrote:

Well... Considering how utterly atrocious 5 was, and how 4 still has a larger online player count today, and is still more fun to play, i'm sure we're all hoping this the return to form they said it would be.
Otherwise. It's player base will just drop as bad as 5s did.

Just making up a bunch of crap? FH5 has 3x-4x the players that FH4 has on Steam both currently and peak over the last 24 hours. FH5 is the 13th most played game on Xbox, FH4 nowhere to be found.

I can't tell if this is massively overconfident incompetence or just decent trolling, but either way it's unwelcome.

Re: Three Xbox Games Are Shutting Down Their Servers In April 2026

Jenkinss

Sounds like everyone who bought King of Meat is getting a refund. Imagine thinking that is cheaper than a simple end of life plan like releasing a dedicated server mode when the game shuts down. Ross Scott doing the Lord's work with the Stop Killing Games initiative. And things are picking up steam fast now, UFC-Que Choisir suing Ubisoft in France is terrific news.

Re: Xbox Spring Sale 2026 Now Live In Full, 1000+ Games Discounted

Jenkinss

Grabbed Core Keeper, I also have been wanting to replay Battleblock Theater (which I played on PC many years ago) so I grabbed that too.

Very tempted to pick up the Wizardry remaster, the Telltale Expanse game, and Tainted Grail.

Can't believe Age of Wonders 4 expansion pass 2 still hasn't gone on sale.

Re: Xbox Has Already Given Forza Horizon 6 Access To A Few Lucky People

Jenkinss

GeeEssEff wrote:

I’m so excited for a new FH. Everything Playground have teased us with so far is ticking all the boxes for me. I will gleefully be there on day four.

Same, and 🤣

I'm on the fence about the season pass, it was very worth it in the last 2 games, but man is it expensive this time around. Plus I have to convince my friends to buy it for it to be worth it which is going to be that much harder.

Re: It Was Asha Sharma's 'Direction' To Scrub 'This Is An Xbox' Marketing, Suggests Report

Jenkinss

It was a bad slogan, but most of them have been bad since "Jump In" which itself wasn't that great. People use this slogan as a boogyman for the death of Xbox when it had little to do with it. Their death spiral had begun months earlier when they announced they were going 3rd party. No slogan at that point would have turned the tide, sentiment in the brand was already torched to ashes.